1. Cerra Co. expects to receive 5 million euros tomorrow as a result of selling goods to the Netherlands. Cerra estimates the standard deviation of daily percentage changes of the euro to be 1 percent over the last 100 days. Assume that these percentage changes are normally distributed. Use the value-at-risk (VaR) method based on a 95 percent confidence level. What is the maximum one-day percentage loss if the expected percentage change of the euro tomorrow is 0.5 percent?
a. -1.15%
b. -1.5%
c. -2.2%
d. -0.5%
2. Cerra Co. expects to receive 5 million euros tomorrow as a result of selling goods to the Netherlands. Cerra estimates the standard deviation of daily percentage changes of the euro to be 1 percent over the last 100 days. Assume that these percentage changes are normally distributed. Use the value-at-risk (VaR) method based on a 95 percent confidence level. What is the maximum one-day loss in dollars if the expected percentage change of the euro tomorrow is 0.5 percent? The current spot rate of the euro (before considering the maximum one-day loss) is $1.01.
a. -$111,100
b. -$75,750
c. -$25,250
d. -$57,500