What is meant by probability of one in a group of four


Problem

If one person has a 25% chance of getting a disease by age 70, what is the probability of one in a group of 4 getting cancer by that age? I am thinking it should be 1/4 * 4, but that does not seem right to me either.

The solution depends on what is meant by "probability of one in a group of 4".

The response must include a reference list. Using Times New Roman 12 pnt font, double-space, one-inch margins, and APA style of writing and citations.

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Basic Statistics: What is meant by probability of one in a group of four
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