Under risk neutrality, a factory can be worth $500,000 or $1,000,000 in 2 years, depending on product demand, each with equal probability.
The appropriate cost of capital is 6% per year. The factory can be financed with proceeds of $500,000 from loans today.
What are the promised and expected cash flows and rates of return for the factory (without a loan), for the loan, and for a hypothetical factory owner who has to repay the loan first?