What amount to bid to maximize probability to get property


Suppose we are interested in bidding on a piece of land and we know one other bidder is interested, The seller announced that the highest bid in excess of $10,000 will be accepted. Assume that the competitor's bid x is a random variable that is uniformly distributed between $10,000 and $15,000.

a. Suppose you bid $12,000. What is the probability that your bid will be accepted?
b. Suppose you bid $14,000. What is the probability that your bid will be accepted?
c. What amount should you bid to maximize the probability that you get the property?
d. Suppose you know someone who is willing to pay you $16,000 for the property. Would you consider bidding less than the amount in par (c)? Why or why not?

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Basic Statistics: What amount to bid to maximize probability to get property
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