Value of option to delay project


Winters Corp. is considering a new product that will require an investment of $20 million now, at t = 0. If the new product is well received, then the project will produce after-tax cash flows of $10 million at the end of each of the next 3 years (t = 1, 2, 3), but if the market does not like the product, the cash flows will be only $4 million per year. There is a 50% probability that the market will be good. The firm could delay the project for a year while it conducts a test to determine if demand is likely to be strong or weak, but it will have to incur costs to obtain this timing option. The project's cost and expected annual cash flows will be the same whether the project is delayed or not. The project's WACC is 11.0%. What is the value (in thousands) of the option to delay the project?

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Finance Basics: Value of option to delay project
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