The following is supporting analysis for Exhibit 12.
CASH FLOW PROJECTIONS ($000,000)
|
Sales growth rate
|
7.2%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tax rate
|
41%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1989
|
1990
|
1991
|
1992
|
1993
|
1994
|
1995
|
1996
|
1997
|
1998
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1. Sales
|
3,582
|
3,840
|
4,116
|
4,413
|
4,730
|
5,071
|
5,436
|
5,828
|
6,247
|
6,697
|
2. Operating margin
|
9.20%
|
9.30%
|
9.40%
|
9.50%
|
9.60%
|
9.70%
|
9.80%
|
9.90%
|
10.00%
|
10.10%
|
3. Operating earnings (1x2)
|
330
|
357
|
387
|
419
|
454
|
492
|
533
|
577
|
625
|
676
|
Plus: other income
|
29
|
29
|
29
|
29
|
29
|
29
|
29
|
29
|
29
|
29
|
Less: corporate expense
|
43
|
43
|
43
|
43
|
43
|
43
|
43
|
43
|
43
|
43
|
4. EBIT
|
316
|
343
|
373
|
406
|
440
|
478
|
519
|
563
|
611
|
663
|
5. Taxes
|
129
|
140
|
153
|
166
|
180
|
195
|
212
|
230
|
250
|
271
|
6. Net income
|
187
|
203
|
221
|
240
|
260
|
283
|
307
|
333
|
361
|
392
|
7. Change in NWC
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
40
|
42
|
45
|
49
|
52
|
8. Cash flow (6-7)
|
187
|
203
|
221
|
240
|
260
|
243
|
265
|
288
|
313
|
340
|
Note: The tax rate is the same as in first quarter 1988. Other income and corporate expense is the same as in year ending Feb. 29, 1988. Corporate expense was inferred from Exhibit 8, using interest expense and other income data from Exhibit 7.
The following compares historical operating results to the projections.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
HISTORICAL
|
|
|
PROJECTED
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1986
|
1987
|
1988
|
1989
|
1990
|
1991
|
1992
|
1993
|
1994
|
1995
|
1996
|
1997
|
1998
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net sales
|
2,832
|
2,947
|
3,341
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Operating earnings
|
252
|
264
|
301
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Operating margin
|
8.9%
|
9.0%
|
9.0%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Curent assets
|
1,216
|
1,287
|
1,359
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Current liabilities
|
250
|
358
|
373
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net working capital
|
966
|
928
|
986
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
NWC as % of sales
|
34%
|
32%
|
30%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cash
|
17
|
17
|
21
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Marketable securities
|
127
|
64
|
11
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
NWC less cash and securities
|
822
|
848
|
954
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Adjusted NWC as % of sales
|
29%
|
29%
|
29%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sales growth rate
|
|
4.0%
|
13.4%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net property plant and equipment
|
442
|
485
|
479
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Change (=investment less depreciation)
|
|
43
|
(6)
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|