The management of Brinkley Corporation is interested in using simulation to estimate the profit per unit for a new product. The selling price for the product will be $45 per unit.
Procurement Probability Labor Probability Transportation Probability
10 0.25 20 0.10 3 0.75
11 0.45 22 0.25 5 0.25
12 0.30 24 0.35
25 0.30
a. Compute profit per unit for the base-case, worst-case, and best-case scenarios.
b. Construct a simulation model to estimate the mean profit per unit.
c. Why is the simulation approach to risk analysis preferable to generating a variety of what-if scenarios?
d. Management believes the project may not be sustainable if the profit per unit is less than $5. Use simulation to estimate the probability the profit per unit will be less than $5.