Question: The daily demand for chocolate donuts from the Donut-Hole Shop has been recorded for a two-week period.
a. Simulate a forecast of the demand using trend-adjusted exponential smoothing. Use values of A0 = 90, T0 = 25, and α = β = .2.
b. Plot the data and the forecast on a graph.
c. Does this appear to be a good model for the data?