Selecting an urn


An experiment includes selecting an urn with the following probabilities that Urn 1, Urn 2, or Urn 3 will be selected: 1/2, 1/4, and 1/4, respectively. Urn 1 haves 5 brown marbles and 13 clear marbles. Urn 2 contains 15 brown marbles, 11 clear marbles and 9 red marbles. Urn 3 contains 7 brown marbles, 12 clear marbles and 6 red marbles.

A marble is then selected from the chosen urn. Determine the probability that Urn 3 was selected, given that marble chosen was clear?

a) 0.1200

b) 0.2144

c) 0.1600

d) 0.3165

e) 0.4800

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Basic Statistics: Selecting an urn
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