Programs for estimating slope and intercept


Problem: This problem should be solved using a spreadsheet. In Excel you can use the fx function to estimate the coefficients of a line. 

Within the STATISTICAL functions are separate programs for estimating SLOPE and INTERCEPT. There also is a program called LINEST which does everything you need all at once.

You are given the following data and asked to determine the beta coefficient and the alpha coefficient for IBM and General Electric stock. If you assume that past history is indicative of future expectations and covariances, were IBM and GE good buys at the end of this data set (I.e. in January 2007)?  Why or why not?  The one thing you cannot use in your answer is what has happened to these stocks since December 2006.  That is, you cannot peak ahead. The numbers are monthly returns, not annual returns (in %).  The alpha coefficient you get should also refer to monthly returns.   

 

 

IBM

GE

Market

T-Bills

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Jan-05

3.548

4.678

6.21

0.421

 

Feb-05

-8.367

-0.604

0.81

0.417

 

Mar-05

-4.522

-3.524

-4.16

0.428

 

Apr-05

16.94

11.839

5.97

0.431

 

May-05

7.788

8.784

6.14

0.428

 

Jun-05

4.335

7.66

4.46

0.410

 

Jul-05

17.175

7.885

7.94

0.422

 

Aug-05

-4.137

-10.784

-5.56

0.428

 

Sep-05

4.562

8.791

5.48

0.414

 

Oct-05

-7.075

-5.051

-3.34

0.413

 

Nov-05

11.168

14.313

4.63

0.412

 

Dec-05

-4.452

-0.677

1.72

0.429

 

Jan-06

-5.615

5.622

1.11

0.424

 

Feb-06

5.759

0.323

7.21

0.424

 

Mar-06

-0.539

10.852

5.12

0.419

 

Apr-06

11.552

-1.16

1.01

0.417

 

May-06

1.402

-2.128

-1.72

0.417

 

Jun-06

-2.287

8.996

4.06

0.417

 

Jul-06

15.406

-1.582

-1.07

0.413

 

Aug-06

-15

-10.552

-14.46

0.412

 

Sep-06

14.095

-0.547

6.41

0.395

 

Oct-06

15.564

9.976

8.13

0.340

 

Nov-06

11.195

3.286

6.06

0.370

 

Dec-06

11.658

12.863

5.76

0.368

 

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Macroeconomics: Programs for estimating slope and intercept
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