Normal distribution and annuities


Assignment:

Q1)  A company that sells annuities must base the annual payout on the probability distribution of  the length of life of the participants in the plan. Suppose the probability distribution of the lifetimes of the participants is approximately a normal distribution with a mean of 68 years and a standard deviation of 3.5 years. What proportion of the plan recipients would recipients would receive payment beyond age 75
A) 2.28% (B) 09772 (C) 09997 (D) 0.8413

Q2) Suppose Z has a standard normal distribution with a mean of 0 and a standard deviation of 1.0 One-half 50% of the possible Z values are between____ and ____ symmetrically distributed about the mean.
A) -0.50 and + 0.50 (B) -0.69 and + 0.69 (C) 0-67 and +0.67 (D) -1.96 and +1.96

Q3) The probability that a standard normal random variable, Z is between 1.00 and 3.00 is
A) 0.1574 (B) 0.3158 (C) 1.33 (D) 2.0

Q4) The following ordered array(from left to right) depicts the amount of money (in dollars) withdrawn from a cash machine by 25 customers at a local bank:

40    50    50    70    70
80    80    90    100  100
100  100  100  100  110
110  120  120  130  140
140   150 160  160  200

Compute descriptive summary measure from data and determine which of the following  sentences best describes the distributions
A)The distribution is perfectly symmetrical (B) distribution is slightly right-skewed (C) distribution is slightly left-skewed (D) Distribution is highly asymmetrical

Q5) A state lottery is conducted in which six winning numbers are selected from a total of 54 number. What is the probably that, if six numbers are randomly selected, all six numbers will be winning numbers
A) 0.000038719 (B) 0.000011111 (C) 0.000000039 (D) 0.000000004

Q6) Two investment, which we will call X and Y, have the following characteristics:

Expected to return of X=$50 Expected return of Y=$100
Variance of X=9,000Variance of Y =15,000
Covariance of X and Y=7,500

If the weight assigned to investment X of portfolio assets is 0.4, what is the portfolio risk
A) 40% (B) 314.643 (C) 80 (D) 56.92

Q7) Using the company records for the past 500 working days, the manager of Koning Motors, a suburban automobile dealership , has summarized the number of cars sold per day into the following tables

# Cars Sold                    Frequency
0                                       40
1                                       100
2                                       142
3                                       66
4                                       36
5                                       30
6                                       26
7                                       20
8                                       16
9                                       14
10                                     8
11                                     2
Total                                 500

What is the mean or expected number of cars sold per day?
A)3.056 (B) 3.136(C) 4.545(D) 4.069

Q8) For some positive value of Z, the probability that a standard normal variable is between 0 and Z is 0.3770. The value of Z is:
A) 0.31 (B) 0.81 (C) 1.16 (D) 1.47

Q9) The number of power outages at a nuclear power plant has a Poisson distribution with a variance of six outages per year. What is the probability that there will be no more than one outage in a year.
A) 0.0149 (B) 0.0174 (C) 0.1667 (D) Cannot be solved because the mean (expected number of successes) is not given

Q10) In its standardized form, the normal distribution
A) has a mean of 0 and a standard deviation of 1 (B) has a mean of 1 and a variance of 0 (C) has an area equal 0.5 (D) cannot be used to approximate discrete probability distribution

Q11) Thirty-six of the staff of 80 teachers at a local intermediate school are certified in Cardio-Pulmonary Resuscitation (CPR) . In 180 days of school, assuming  that none of the teachers were ever absent, about how many days is it that the teacher on the bus duty will likely be certified in CPR
A) 5 days (B) 45days (C) 65days (D) 81days

Q12) What type of probability distribution will the consulting firm most likely employ to analyze the insurance claims in the following problem?

An insurance company has called a consulting firm to determine if a company has an unusually high number of false insurance claims. Its is known that the industry proportion for false claims is 3% . The consulting firm has decided to randomly and independently sample 100 of the company’s insurance claims. They believe the number of these that are false will yield the information the company desires.

A) Normal Distribution (B) Binomial distribution (C) Poisson Distribution (D) hypergeometric distribution

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Basic Statistics: Normal distribution and annuities
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