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In a survey 85 percent of the employees say they favor a

Question: In a survey, 85 percent of the employees say they favor a certain company policy. Previous experience indicates that 20 percent of those who do not favor the policy say that they do, out of fear of reprisal. What is the probability that an employee picked at random really does favor the company policy? It is reasonable to assume that all who favor say so.

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Basic Statistics: In a survey 85 percent of the employees say they favor a

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