If doug wants a 099 probability of completing the project


Doug Casey is in charge of planning and coordinating next spring's sales management training program for his company. Doug listed the following activity information for this project:

Activity

Description

Immediate Predecessor

Optimistic

Time (weeks) Most Probable

Pessimistic

A

Plan topic

-

1.5

2.0

2.5

B

Obtain speakers

A

2.0

2.5

6.0

C

List meeting locations

-

1.0

2.0

3.0

D

Select location

C

1.5

2.0

2.5

E

Finalize speaker travel plans

B, D

0.5

1.0

1.5

F

Make final check with speakers

E

1.0

2.0

3.0

G

Prepare and mail brochure

B, D

3.0

3.5

7.0

H

Take reservations

G

3.0

4.0

5.0

I

Handle last-minute details

F, H

1.5

2.0

2.5

a. Draw a project network.

b. Prepare an activity schedule.

c. What are the critical activities and what is the expected project completion time?

d. If Doug wants a 0.99 probability of completing the project on time, how far ahead of the scheduled meeting date should he begin working on the project?

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