The ratings for "driving distance off the tee" for the top 10 golfers on the PGA Tour are as follows:
Rank
Prev Rank
Player
Value (yards)
1 1 Scott Hend
318.90
2 2 Tiger Woods
315.20
3 3 Brett Wetterich
310.70
4 4 John Daly
308.50
5 6 Scott Gutschewski
308.40
6 5 Hank Kuehne
308.30
7 10 Davis Love III
304.30
The Question:
How would you compute the probability, for any given drive on any given hole in any given tournament of the following probabilities for Tiger Woods, currently rated the Number One player in the world:
Note: Let D = the event "a given drive"
I am NOT looking for specific probability numbers - I want to know how
you would compute them and what additional data you might need to
make the computation using the methodology you suggest.
a) P(D = 310 yards) = ? How would you determine this probability? What assumptions did you make?
b) P(300 < D < 320) = ? How would you determine this probability? What
assumptions did you make?
c) P(300 < D < 320) = ? How would you determine this probability? What assumptions did you make?