How to assess the usefulness of average number of wins


Joe Coach was curious to know if the average number of games won in a year predicts Super Bowl performance (win or lose). The x variable was the average number of games won during the past 10 seasons. The y variable was whether the team ever won the Super Bowl during the past 10 seasons. Refer to the following data set:

Team

Average no. of wins over 10 years

Bowl? (1 = yes and 0 = no)

Savannah Sharks

12

1

Pittsburgh Pelicans

11

0

Williamstown Warriors

15

0

Bennington Bruisers

12

1

Atlanta Angels

13

1

Trenton Terrors

16

0

Virginia Vipers

15

1

Charleston Crooners

9

0

Harrisburg Heathens

8

0

Eaton Energizers

12

1

a. How would you assess the usefulness of the average number of wins as a predictor of whether a team ever won a Super Bowl?

b. What's the advantage of being able to use a categorical variable (such as 1 or 0) as a dependent variable?

c. What other variables might you use to predict the dependent variable, and why would you choose them?

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