How effect size-surprisingness relate to replication


Problem: The Open Science Collaboration (2015) attempted to replicate 100 previously published studies. Of the 97 studies that originally showed significant results, only 36% were significant when replicated. How were the effect size and "surprisingness" of original findings related to replication? How might these findings be used to argue that published psychological research findings are untrustworthy? (Answer in no more than 80 words)

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