On May 1, Larkin Hydraulics, a wholly owned subsidiary of Caterpillar (U.S.), sold a 12-megawatt compression turbine to Rebecke-Terwilleger Company of the Netherlands for €4,000,000 payable as €2,000,000 on August 1 and €2,000,000 on November 1. Larkin derives its price quote of €4,000,000 on April 1 by dividing it's normal US dollar sales price of $4,320,000 by the then current spot rate of $1.0800/€.
By the time the order was received and booked on May 1, the euro had strengthened to $1.1000/€, so the sale was in fact worth €4,000,000 c $1.1000/€ = $4,400,000. Larkin had already gained an extra $80,000 from favorable exchange rate movements. Nevertheless, Larkin's Director of finance now wondered if the firm should head against a reversal of the recent trend of the euro. Four approaches were possible:
1. Hedge in the forward market: The 3-month forward exchange quote was $1.1060/€ and the 6-month forward quote was $1.1130/€.
2. Hedge in the money market: Larkin could borrow the euros from the Frankfurt branch of its US bank at 8.00% per annum.
3. Hedge with foreign currency options: August put options were available at strike price of $1.1000/€ for a premium of 2.0% per contract, and November put options were available at $1.1000/€ for a premium of 1.2%. August call options at $1.1000/€ could be purchased for a premium of 3.0%, and November call options at $1.1000/€ were available at a 2.6% premium.
4. Do nothing: Larkin could wait until the sales proceeds were received in August and November, hope the recent strengthening of the euro would continue, and sell the euros received for dollars in the spot market.
Larkin estimates the cost of equity capital to be 12% per annum. As a small firm, Larkin Hydraulics is unable to raise funds with long-term debt. US T-bill yield 3.6% per annum. What should Larkin do?