Finding naive method forecasts


Assignment:

The actual demand for the patients at Omaha Emergency Medical Clinic for the first six weeks are as follows:

WEEK Actual number of patients
1 65
2 62
3 70
4 48
5 63
6 52

Clinic administrator Mark wants you to forecast patient demand at the clinic for week 7 by using this data. You decide to use a weighted moving average method to find this forecast. Your method uses four actual demand levels, with weights of 0.333 on the present period, 0.25 one period ago, 0.25 two periods ago, and 0.167 three periods ago.

a) Find Naive method forecasts for week 2 to week 6.

b) Compute the values of CFE, MAD, MAPE, and MSE.

Your answer must be typed, double-spaced, Times New Roman font (size 12), one-inch margins on all sides, APA format and also include references.

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Operation Management: Finding naive method forecasts
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