Evaluate slopes of regression lines with stock return


The Goodman Industries' and Landry Incorporated's stock prices and dividends, along with the Market

Index, are shown below. Stock prices are reported for December 31 of each year, and dividends reflect those paid during the year. The market data are adjusted to include dividends.

Goodman Industries

 

Landry Incorporated

Market Index

 

Year

Stock Price

Dividend

Stock Price

Dividend

Includes

Dividends

2013

$25.88

$1.73

$73.13

$4.50

17.49

5.97

2012

22.13

1.59

78.45

4.35

13.17

8.55

2011

24.75

1.50

73.13

4.13

13.01

9.97

2010

16.13

1.43

85.88

3.75

9.65

1.05

2009

17.06

1.35

90.00

3.38

8.40

3.42

2008

11.44

1.28

83.63

3.00

7.05

8.96

1. Use the data given to calculate annual returns for Goodman, Landry, and the Market Index, and then calculate average annual returns for the two stocks and the index. (Hint: Remember, returns are calculated by subtracting the beginning price from the ending price to get the capital gain or loss, adding the dividend to the capital gain or loss, and then dividing the result by the beginning price. Assume that dividends are already included in the index. Also, you cannot calculate the rate of return for 2008 because you do not have 2007 data.)

2. Calculate the standard deviations of the returns for Goodman, Landry, and the Market Index.

3. Estimate Goodman's and Landry's betas as the slopes of regression lines with stock return on the vertical axis (y-axis) and market return on the horizontal axis (x-axis). (Hint: Use Excel's SLOPE function.) Are these betas consistent with your graph?

4. The risk-free rate on long-term Treasury bonds is 6.04%. Assume that the market risk premium is 5%. What is the required return on the market using the SML equation?

5. If you formed a portfolio that consisted of 50% Goodman stock and 50% Landry stock, what would be its beta and its required return?

6. What dividends do you expect for Goodman Industries stock over the next 3 years if you expect you expect the dividend to grow at the rate of 5% per year for the next 3 years? In other words, calculate D1, D2, and D3. Note that D0 = $1.50.

7. Assume that Goodman Industries' stock, currently trading at $27.05, has a required return of 13%. You will use this required return rate to discount dividends. Find the present value of the dividend stream; that is, calculate the PV of D1, D2, and D3, and then sum these PVs.

8. If you plan to buy the stock, hold it for 3 years, and then sell it for $27.05, what is the most you should pay for it?

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Finance Basics: Evaluate slopes of regression lines with stock return
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