Estimate unemployment in the fourth quarter of 1975 using a


The Canadian unemployment rate as a percentage of the civilian labor force (seasonally adjusted) between 1974 and the third quarter of 1975 is shown below.

 

Quarter

Unemployment Rate

1974

1

5.4

 

2

5.3

 

3

5.3

 

4

5.6

1975

1

6.9

 

2

7.2

 

3

7.2

(a) Estimate unemployment in the fourth quarter of 1975 using a single moving average with = 3.

(b) Repeat using single exponential smoothing with α = 0.7.

(c) Compare your two estimates using the accuracy statistics.

 

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Applied Statistics: Estimate unemployment in the fourth quarter of 1975 using a
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