Sensitivity analysis James Secretarial Services is considering the purchase of one of two new personal computers, P and Q. Both are expected to provide benefits over a 10-year period, and each has a required investment of $3,000. The firm uses a 10% cost of capital. Management has constructed the following table of estimates of annual cash inflows for pessimistic, most likely, and optimistic results.
Computer P
|
|
Computer Q
|
Initial investment (CF0)
|
$3,000
|
$3,000
|
Outcome
|
Annual cash inflows (CF)
|
Pessimistic
|
$ 500
|
$ 400
|
Most likely
|
750
|
750
|
Optimistic
|
1,000
|
1,200
|
a. Determine the range of annual cash inflows for each of the two computers.
b. Construct a table similar to this for the NPVs associated with each outcome for both computers.
c. Find the range of NPVs, and subjectively compare the risks associated with purchasing these computers.