Assignment:
Samsung is trying to forecast demand for first quarter 2017 for one of their memory chips. Using exponential smoothing, Alpha = 0.2, a forecast for second quarter 2016 of 165,000 chips, and the actual production below. Calculate the forecast for first quarter 2017 and determine the mean absolute deviation.
Quarter Memory chips Produced
Second Quater 2016 175000
Third Quater 2016 142000
Fourth Quater 2016 165000
First Quater 2017 TBD