Problem: Larry's Athletic Lounge is planning an expansion program to increase the sophistication of its exercise equipment. Larry is considering some new equipment priced at $20,000 with an estimated life of five years. Larry is not sure how many members the new equipment will attract, but he estimates his increased yearly cash flows for each of the next five years will have the following probability distribution. Larry's cost of capital is 14%.
(Probability) Cash Flow
.2 $2,400
.4 $4,800
.3 $6,000
.1 $7,200
Q1. What is the expected value of the cash flow? The value you compute will apply to each of the five years
Q2. What is the expected net present value?
Q3. Should Larry buy the new equipment?