The probabilitiesHard Rock Cafe's annual Rockiest
Clay Why bark, a soft-drink vendor at Hard Rock Cafe's annual Rockiest, created a table of conditional values for the various alternatives (stocking decision) and states of nature (size of crowd):
|
States of Nature (demand)
|
Alternatives
|
Dig
|
Average
|
Small
|
Large stock
|
$22,000
|
$12,000
|
-$2,000
|
Average stock
|
$14,000
|
$10,000
|
$6,000
|
Small stock
|
$ 9,000
|
$ 8,000
|
$4,000
|
The probabilities associated with the states of nature are 0.3 for a big demand, 0.5 for an average demand, and 0.2 for a small demand.
a) Determine the alternative that provides Clay Why bark the greatest expected monetary value (HMV).
b) Compute the expected value of perfect information.