Create respond referencing on election polls misgivings


Problem:

On the following statement, create a respond referencing on election polls misgivings. After reading the articles from USA Today and NPR regarding the reasons why election polls were wrong, a number of theories for why the 2016 U.S. presidential election was so inaccurately forecasted become apparent. Although most experts and pollsters predicted Hillary Clinton would win, Donald Trump's triumph revealed problems with survey methods. Non-response bias, in which some groups-mostly white working-class voters without college degrees-were either underestimated in surveys or did not participate at all, was one of the main issues that was found. As noted by USA Today, these voters defied the assumptions of most surveys by casting significant ballots for Trump (Jackson, 2016). According to an NPR piece, some Trump supporters were hesitant to tell pollsters how they planned to vote, which resulted in inadequate reporting. Furthermore, previous surveys did not fully reflect late deciders, or those who make up their minds only before the election. In the closing days leading up to the election, these people tended to shift in favor of Trump, as NPR noted (Montanaro, 2020). Since people without college degrees were not fairly represented in the sample sizes, one possible remedy would have been to better weight the education component of the polling data. It's possible that surveys that took this population into account might have produced more accurate results.

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