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Consider again the markov chains corresponding to the wheel


1. (Wheel of Fortune Continued). Consider again the Markov chains corresponding to the wheel of fortune. Prove or disprove that they are irreducible and aperiodic.

2. * (Stationary Distribution in Ehrenfest Model). Consider the general Ehrenfest chain defined in the text, with m balls, and transfer probabilities ?; ?; 0 ?; ? 1. Identify a stationary distribution if it exists.

3. * (Time Until Break away). Consider a general stationary Markov chain fXng, and let T D minfn > 1W Xn ¤ X0g.

(a) Can T be equal to 1 with a positive probability?

(b) Give a simple necessary and sufficient condition for P.T 1/ D 1.

(c) For the weather pattern, Ehrenfest urn, and the cat and mouse chain, compute E.T jX0 D i/ for a general i in the corresponding state space S.

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Basic Statistics: Consider again the markov chains corresponding to the wheel
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