Taxes are a cost, and, therefore, changes in tax rates can affect consumer prices, project lives, and the value of existing firms. The following problem illustrates this. It also illustrates that tax changes that appear to be "good for business" do not always increase the value of existing firms. Indeed, unless new investment incentives increase consumer demand, they can work only by rendering existing equipment obsolete.
The manufacture of bucolic acid is a competitive business. Demand is steadily expanding, and new plants are constantly being opened. Expected cash flows from an investment in a new plant are as follows:
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0
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1
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2
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3
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1. Initial investment
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100
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2. Revenues
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100
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100
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100
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3. Cash operating costs
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50
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50
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50
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4. Tax depreciation
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33.33
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33.33
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33.33
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5. Income pretax
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16.67
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16.67
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16.67
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6. Tax at 40%
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6.67
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6.67
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6.67
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7. Net income
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10
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10
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10
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8. After-tax salvage
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15
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9. Cash flow (7 + 8 + 4 - 1)
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-100
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+43.33
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+43.33
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+58.33
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NPV at 20% =00
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a. What is the value of a one-year-old plant? Of a two-year-old plant?
b. Suppose that the government now changes tax depreciation to allow a 100 percent write off in year 1. How does this affect the value of existing one- and two-year-old plants? Existing plants must continue using the original tax depreciation schedule.