Calculating expected value of game


Assignment:

Louisiana is busy designing new lottery scratch off games. In the latest game, Bayou Boondoggle, the player is instructed to scratch off one spot: A, B, or C. A can reveal “Loser,” “Win $1,” or “Win $50.” B can reveal “Loser” or “Take a Second Chance.” C can reveal “Loser” or “Win $500.” On the second chance, the player is instructed to scratch off D or E. D can reveal “Loser” or “Win $1.” E can reveal “Loser” or “Win $10.” The probabilities at A are .9, .09, and .01. The probabilities at B are .8 and .2. The probabilities at C are .999 and .001. The probabilities at D are .5 and .5. Finally, the probabilities at E are .95 and .05. Draw the decision tree that represents this scenario. Use proper symbols and label all branches clearly. Calculate the expected value of this game.

Provide complete and step by step solution for the question and show calculations and use formulas.

Solution Preview :

Prepared by a verified Expert
Operation Research: Calculating expected value of game
Reference No:- TGS01953699

Now Priced at $30 (50% Discount)

Recommended (97%)

Rated (4.9/5)