Calculate the seasonal index using the link relative method


Problem 1: The quarterly cost (in million) of Temitope Industries Nigeria PLC are as follow

Years/Quarters

1

2

3

4

1994

14.01

14

13.91

14.93

1995

14

14.36

14.42

15.942

1996

14.65

15

14.98

15.942

1997

15.06



15.75

Determine the seasonal component of the time series by ratio - to moving average method

Problem 2: The following figures show the production in millions of tons in a certain industry over a ten year period

Year    Production

1988    98

1989    92

1990    80

1991    89

1992    83

1993    69

1994    69

1995    67

1996    58

1997    61

a. Use the regression analysis method to estimate the trend component of the time series.

b. Use the equation to forecast production in 1998 and 1999.

Problem 3: The following data shows the quarterly sales in million for WAZOBIA ventures Nigeria Plc.

Years/Quarters

I

II

III

IV

1994

73

71

88

104

1995

114

103

105

142

1996

153

152

158

165

1997

181

170

174

187

Calculate the seasonal index using the link relative method. De-seasonalise the original data.

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Advanced Statistics: Calculate the seasonal index using the link relative method
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