Calculate measurement error using mse and mad


Assignment

The figures below indicate the number of mergers that took place in the savings and loan industry over a 12-year period.

Year

Mergers

Year

Mergers

2000

46

2006

83

2001

46

2007

123

2002

62

2008

97

2003

45

2009

186

2004

64

2010

225

2005

61

2011

240

a. Calculate a 5-year moving average to forecast the number ofmergers for 2012.

b. Use the moving average technique to determine the forecast for 2005 to 2011. Calculate measurement error using MSE and MAD.

c. Calculate a 5-year weighted moving average to forecast the number ofmergers for 2012. Use weights of 0.10, 0.15, 0.20, 0.25, and 0.30,with the most recent year weighted being the largest.

d. Use regression analysis to forecast the number ofmergers in 2012.

Format your assignment according to the following formatting requirements:

1. The answer should be typed, double spaced, using Times New Roman font (size 12), with one-inch margins on all sides.

2. The response also includes a cover page containing the title of the assignment, the student's name, the course title, and the date. The cover page is not included in the required page length.

3. Also include a reference page. The Citations and references should follow APA format. The reference page is not included in the required page length.

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