Calculate measurement error


Assignment:

Part 1

Suppliers

  • Should a firm attempt to have fewer or more suppliers?
  • What are the advantages and disadvantages of each approach?

Your answer must be of 200 to 250 words.

Part 2

Forecasting Methods

  • Calculate and answer parts a through Include all calculations and spreadsheets in your post.
  • Explain why the moving average method was used instead of another forecasting method.
  • What might be another forecasting method that could prove to be just as useful?

Your answer must be of 200 to 250 words.

6. The figures below indicate the number of mergers that took place in the savings and loan industry over a 12-year period.

Year                              Mergers               Year                   Mergers
2000                                 46                   2006                     83
2001                                 46                   2007                     123
2002                                 62                   2008                      97
2003                                 45                   2009                      186
2004                                 64                   2010                      225
2005                                 61                   2011                      240

a.) Calculate a 5-year moving average to forecast the number of mergers for 2012.

b.) Use the moving average technique to determine the forecast for 2005 to 2011. Calculate measurement error using MSE and MAD.

c.) Calculate a 5-year weighted moving average to forecast the number of mergers for 2012. Use weights of 0.10, 0.15, 0.20, 0.25, and 0.30, with the most recent year weighted being the largest.

d.) Use regression analysis to forecast the number of mergers in 2012.

Class Text
Vonderembse, M. A., & White, G. P. (2013). Operations management. San Diego, CA:Bridge point Education, Inc.

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