Problem
1. Build a general model evaluation system in your favorite programming language, and set it up with the right data to assess models for a particular problem. Your environment should report performance statistics, error distributions and/or confusion matrices as appropriate.
2. Estimate prior probabilities for the following events:
(a) The sun will come up tomorrow.
(b) A major war involving your country will start over the next year.
(c) A newborn kid will live to be 100 years old.
(d) Today you will meet the person whom you will marry.
(e) The Chicago Cubs will win the World Series this year.