Average expected future inflation rate


Suppose the real risk-free rate is 3.00%, the average expected future inflation rate is 2.60%, and a maturity risk premium of 0.10% per year to maturity applies, i.e., MRP = 0.10%(t), where t is the years to maturity. What rate of return would you expect on a 1-year Treasury security, assuming the pure expectations theory is NOT valid? Disregard cross-product terms, i.e., if averaging is required, use the arithmetic average.

a. 4.62%

b. 4.96%

c. 6.04%

d. 5.70%

e. 6.67%

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Accounting Basics: Average expected future inflation rate
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