Using the Yield Curve to Estimate Future Interest Rates
Expectations Theory
Assume that the real risk-free rate is 2.1% and that the maturity risk premium is zero. Also assume that the 1-year Treasury bond yield is 6% and a 2-year bond yields 6.5%. Calculate the yield using a geometric average.
What is the 1-year interest rate that is expected for Year 2? Round your answer to two decimal places.
%
What inflation rate is expected during Year 2? Round your answer to two decimal places.
%
Comment on why the average interest rate during the 2-year period differs from the 1-year interest rate expected for Year 2.