Analyze optimal cost is split among the different sources


Assignment:

Question 1: Consider the following quarterly data for the maintenance load in man-hours for the last 5 years.

Year

Quarter

I

II

III

IV

1

215

120

150

100

2

250

175

75

150

3

300

250

75

165

4

350

275

100

200

6

400

300

125

225

(a) Determine an appropriate seasonal index for each quarter.

(b) Deseasonalize the data and fit it to an appropriate growth model.

(c) Predict the quarter values for the 6th and 7th years

Question 2: Imagine yourself taking the role of a maintenance planner. Consider the problem explanation and the weekly data of Table 2-9 (page 38-39). There are two work grades (priorities) i=1 (high), and i=2 (low). There are three possible sources to execute the maintenance load, RM (regular in-house), OM (in-house overtime), and CM (contracted). Man-hour cost of regular in-house is 10$, of overtime is 15$, and contracted 25$. In week 1, we start with a backlog of 100hours. The cost of backlogged hour is 5$. Your objective is to minimize the total maintenance cost by allocating the required maintenance load (high and low) among the different sources. The maintenance planning constraints are as follow:

1. No backlogging of grade 1 load.

2. The total capacity available for regular in-house is 160 hours per week.

3. A maximum of 25% of regular in-house capacity is allowed in week.

4. The backlog per week is positive.

Period t (week)

FMt

TM_1,t

1

150

150

2

200

150

3

250

150

4

180

180

5

200

200

6

150

120

7

200

150

8

250

150

9

200

150

10

300

200

11

250

210

12

200

200

Find the optimal cost and the maintenance load allocation among the various sources. Analyze how optimal cost is split among the different sources. Plot the amount of backlog per week in graph and discuss these results.

When you reported the maintenance plan to your manager he is not satisfied with the large amount backlog especially toward the end of the planning period. The maintenance manager asked to limit the backlog per week to 100hour. Re-solve the problem with this additional new constraint.

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Operation Management: Analyze optimal cost is split among the different sources
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