A one-year project has a 94% chance of leading to a gain of $1 million (or loss of -$1 million), a 2.5% chance of a loss of $6 million, and a 2.5% chance of a loss of $10 million, and a 1% chance of a loss of $20 million.
a. What is the VaR with a 95% confidence level?
b. What is the VaR with a 97.5% confidence level?
c. What is the VaR with a 99% confidence level?