--%>

what is the probability that the film will be a flop

T.C.Fox, marketing director for Metro-Goldmine Motion Pictures, believes that the studio's upcoming release has a 60 percent chance of being a hit, a 25 percent chance of being a moderate success, and a 15 percent chance of being a flop. To test the accuracy of his opinion, T.C. has scheduled two test screenings. After each screening, the audience rates the film on a scale of 1 to 10, 10 being the best. From his long experience in the industry, T.C. knows that 60 percent of the time, a hit picture will receive a rating of 7 or higher; 30 percent of the time, it will receive a rating of 4, 5, or 6; and 10 percent of the time, it will receive a rating of 3 or lower. For a moderately successful picture, the respective probabilities are 0.30, 0.45, and 0.25; for a flop, the respective probabilities are 0.15, 0.35, and 0.50.

(a) If the first test screening produces a score of 6, what is the probability that the film will be a hit?

(b) If the first test screening produces a score of 6 and the second screening yields a score of 2, what is the probability that the film will be a flop (assuming that the screening results are independent of each other)?

   Related Questions in Mathematics

  • Q : Formal logic It's a problem set, they

    It's a problem set, they are attached. it's related to Sider's book which is "Logic to philosophy" I attached the book too. I need it on feb22 but feb23 still work

  • Q : Formulating linear program of an oil

    An oil company blends two input streams of crude oil products alkylate and catalytic cracked to meet demand for weekly contracts for regular (12,000 barrels) mind grade ( 7,500) and premium ( 4,500 barrels) gasoline’s . each week they can purchase up to 15, 000

  • Q : Elementary Logic Set & Model of a

    Prove that Elementary Logic Set is a Model of a Boolean Algebra The three Boolean operations of Logic are the three logical operations of  OR ( V ), AN

  • Q : Profit-loss based problems A leather

    A leather wholesaler supplies leather to shoe companies. The manufacturing quantity requirements of leather differ depending upon the amount of leather ordered by the shoe companies to him. Due to the volatility in orders, he is unable to precisely predict what will b

  • Q : Formal logic It's a problem set, they

    It's a problem set, they are attached. it's related to Sider's book which is "Logic to philosophy" I attached the book too. I need it on feb22 but feb23 still work

  • Q : Explain trading of call options Explain

    Explain trading of call options.

  • Q : Global And Regional Economic Development

    The Pharmatec Group, a supplier of pharmaceutical equipment, systems and services, has its head office in London and primary production facilities in the US. The company also has a successful subsidiary in South Africa, which was established in 1990. Pharmatec South A

  • Q : Pig Game Using the PairOfDice class

    Using the PairOfDice class design and implement a class to play a game called Pig. In this game the user competes against the computer. On each turn the player rolls a pair of dice and adds up his or her points. Whoever reaches 100 points first, wins. If a player rolls a 1, he or she loses all point

  • Q : Explain a rigorous theory for Brownian

    Explain a rigorous theory for Brownian motion developed by Wiener Norbert.

  • Q : Calculus I need it within 4 hours. Due

    I need it within 4 hours. Due time March 15, 2014. 3PM Pacific Time. (Los Angeles, CA)