--%>
Assignment Help - homework help

Probability of dividend

Universal Corporation has the following dividend policy: if the earnings after taxes are less than $1 million, the dividend payout ratio will be 35%, but if these earnings are over $1 million, the dividend payout ratio will be 45%. The EBIT of Universal for next year is expected to be $10 million with a standard deviation of $4 million. Universal has $30 million in long-term bonds with coupon of 9%, and 1.5 million shares of common stock. Calculate the probability that Universal will give a dividend of more than $1 per share. The tax rate of Universal is 30%.

E

Expert

Verified

From the given details,

163_73.71.jpg

Since earnings after taxes are well above $1 million, the dividend payout ratio will be 45%. Hence if a dividend of $1/share is given, the EPS will be

0.45 = 1/EPS
EPS = 1/0.45 = 2.22

Hence profit after taxes = 2.22*1.5 million = 3.33 million

Profit before taxes = 4.76 million
EBIT = $7.462 million

In order to determine the probability,

Z = (7.462 – 10)/4 = -0.635
P(z) = 73.71%

Thus the probability that Universal will give a dividend of more than $1 per share is 73.71%.

   Related Questions in Corporate Finance

  • Q : How could we project exchange rates How

    How could we project exchange rates within order to be capable to forecast exchange differences?

    		•
  • Q : Explain few Spanish mutual funds

    Is this true that very little Spanish mutual funds outperform their benchmark? Isn’t this strange?

    		•
  • Q : Estimate stock's current price A

    A company currently pays a dividend of $3.75 per share, D0 = 3.75. It is estimated that the company's dividend will grow at a rate of 15% percent per year for the next 2 years, then the dividend will grow at a constant rate of 7% the

    		•
  • Q : When the dividend shows real money The

    The dividend is the part of the net income which the company distributes to shareholders. When the dividend shows real money, the net income is also real money. Is it true?

    		•
  • Q : Sinking Fund problem Berks Corporation

    Berks Corporation is expecting to have EBIT next year of $12 million, with a standard deviation of $6 million. Berks have $30 million in bonds with coupon of 10%, selling at par, which are being retired at the rate of $2 million annually. Berks also have 100,000 share

    		•
  • Q : Finc . A&B Enterprises is trying to

    . A&B Enterprises is trying to select the best investment from among four alternatives. Each alternative involves an initial outlay of $100,000. Their cash flows follow: Year A B C D 1 $10,000 $50,000 $25,000 $ 0 2 20,000 40,000 25,000 0 3 30,000 30,000 25,000 45,0

    		•
  • Q : Selling or purchasing problem Atlas

    Atlas Realty Company is interested in buying a house and renting it out for $12,000 a year, collecting the rent in advance each year. This will depreciate the house over 25 years; however sell it after 15 years at twice its purchase price. The maintenance expenditures

    		•
  • Q : What is Financial Analysis Financial

    Financial Analysis: It is the investigation and interpretation of financial statements and associated financial reports. Trained and certified accountants generally complete this kind of analysis. The role of a financial analyst is to

    		•
  • Q : Calculating Super normal profit The

    The case study of an economic analysis is done for Schlumberger, oilfield Service Company.  They are No. 1 in terms of market caps, revenue and employees globally. When any references are used/outside sources (except for Schlumberger's annual reports and financia

    		•
  • Q : State capital formation Capital

    Capital formation: It is an increase in the stock of capital in particular period is termed as capital formation.

    		•