--%>
Assignment Help - homework help

Probability of dividend

Universal Corporation has the following dividend policy: if the earnings after taxes are less than $1 million, the dividend payout ratio will be 35%, but if these earnings are over $1 million, the dividend payout ratio will be 45%. The EBIT of Universal for next year is expected to be $10 million with a standard deviation of $4 million. Universal has $30 million in long-term bonds with coupon of 9%, and 1.5 million shares of common stock. Calculate the probability that Universal will give a dividend of more than $1 per share. The tax rate of Universal is 30%.

E

Expert

Verified

From the given details,

163_73.71.jpg

Since earnings after taxes are well above $1 million, the dividend payout ratio will be 45%. Hence if a dividend of $1/share is given, the EPS will be

0.45 = 1/EPS
EPS = 1/0.45 = 2.22

Hence profit after taxes = 2.22*1.5 million = 3.33 million

Profit before taxes = 4.76 million
EBIT = $7.462 million

In order to determine the probability,

Z = (7.462 – 10)/4 = -0.635
P(z) = 73.71%

Thus the probability that Universal will give a dividend of more than $1 per share is 73.71%.

   Related Questions in Corporate Finance

  • Q : Problem on annual obligation payment

    ABC Corp. has a challenge: The CEO wants to set aside annual, end of year payments into a sinking fund account earning 5% over the next 6 years in order to retire $25 million in bonds that will be outstanding at that time. Determine the annual payment required each ye

    		•
  • Q : Problem on raising new capital AB

    AB Corporation has 3 million shares of common stock selling at $19 each. It also contains $25 million in bonds with coupon rate of 8%, selling at par. AB requires $10 million in new capital that it can raise by selling stock at $18, or bonds at 9% interest. The expect

    		•
  • Q : Is the market risk premium a parameter

    Is the market risk premium a parameter, for the world economy or for the national economy?

    		•
  • Q : Understand and interpret financial

    Our purpose this week: learning how to understand and interpret financial statements. Assignment: The class should discuss all of the questions listed below as they rel

    		•
  • Q : Assessing market expectations using CAPM

    Assume that the risk-free rate is 1% and the expected market return is 9%. You are considering purchasing Super Soft stock, which currently sells for $100 a share and will pay its next (annual) dividend of $1.00 exactly one year from today. Super Soft is considered to

    		•
  • Q : Which method must use to valuate young

    Which method must we use to valuate young companies along with high growth but uncertain futures? Two illustrations were Boston Chicken and Telepizza while they began.

    		•
  • Q : Explain the Monte Carlo evaluation of

    Explain the Monte Carlo evaluation of integrals.

    		•
  • Q : Problem on stock market John Wong is a

    John Wong is a fresh graduate and has a limited amount of funds for investments. He expects that the Hong Kong stock market will fall soon but he is not familiar with derivatives. In order to gain more money to buy a car, he explores engaging in Hang Seng Index (HSI)

    		•
  • Q : Problem on financial manager

    Assume that you are a financial manager of Yuen Cheong Manufacturng Company. Due to the rising demand of product X, Yuen Cheong Manufacturng Company decides to open a new production plant in China, so it needs to take a loan of US$1 million. Bank A offers Yuen Cheong

    		•
  • Q : Is Capital Cash Flow identical with

    Is Capital Cash Flow identical with Free Cash Flow?

    		•