--%>
Assignment Help - homework help

Mascot Simulation

Simulation with Crystal Ball


Provided Workbook: Mascot Simulation
Relevant Readings:"Discounted Cash Flow Modeling" folder + Textbook Chapter 4.
This is an individual assignment.

 


Mascot Industries (B)


Consider Mascot's investment decision modeled in HW2.
Mascot now realizes that some of the assumptions made are not quite correct.

For example, the projected receivables for both machines are rather unreliable. It is likely that such projections will diverge significantly from their originally estimated 4-year mean. A normal distribution around the mean, with twice the originally predicted 4-year standard deviation, sounds reasonable to reflect such uncertainty.

Also, the purchase price of the new machine is not guaranteed. Most likely, Mascot will pay the originally estimated amount but it is possible that the price be as low as $240,000 or as high as $270,000. Mascot agrees that the uncertain purchase price should follow a triangular distribution.

Mascot's CFO wants to evaluate how these uncertain variables might affect the project's net present value.


Using Crystal Ball, run a simulation in Workbook "Mascot Simulation B" and provide answers to the following questions. Make sure that you copy the full report of your simulation in a separate worksheet.
You will also be asked to load your spreadsheet at the end of this assignment.

Questions.
Using the distributions described above, set up a simulation in the "Crystal Ball Model B" worksheet.
Run 10,000 trials and attach the full report in a worksheet called "simulation B".

In the "Interpretation" worksheet, provide answers to the following questions:

1) Based on simulation results, are you 100% confident that Mascot should acquire the new machine? Explain.
2) How much effort should Mascot allocate at securing the lowest possible purchase price for the new machine? Explain using the simulation results.

   Related Questions in Finance Basics

  • Q : Near monies Normal 0 false false false

    Normal 0 false false

  • Q : Explain characteristics of an efficient

    Explain characteristics of an efficient market?Market efficiency refers to the speed, ease and cost of trading securities. Within an efficient market, securities can be traded quickly, easily and at low cost. Markets lacking these qualities are

    		•
  • Q : Describe depreciation expense Describe

    Describe depreciation expense as it seems on the income statement.  Accounting depreciation is the allocation of asset's primary cost over time. Depreciation cost on an income statement is the amount of the asset=s initial cost allocated to

    		•
  • Q : What is Debt Service Debt Service : The

    Debt Service: The amount (sum) of money needed to pay interest on exceptional bonds and the principal of maturing bonds.

    		•
  • Q : Explain Conference Committee Conference

    Conference Committee: It is a committee of three members (that is two from the majority party and one from the minority party) from each house, appointed to gather and resolve differences among versions of a bill (example, when one house of the Legisl

    		•
  • Q : What is Detail of Appropriations and

    Detail of Appropriations and Adjustments: A budget display, for each association, that replicates appropriations and adjustments by fund source for each of the character of expenditure, (that is, State Operations, Local Assistance, and Capital Outlay)

    		•
  • Q : What is the Schedule of Operating

    Schedule of Operating Expenses and Equipment, Supplementary: The supplemental schedule proposed by department’s throughout budget preparation that details by object the expenses comprised in the Operating Expenses and Equipment class.

    		•
  • Q : What is Audit Audit : Usually a review

    Audit: Usually a review of financial statements or performance activity (like an agency or program) to establish conformity or compliance with the applicable laws, regulations, and/or standards. The state has three central association

    		•
  • Q : Why too little debt is as unwanted as

    If an optimal capital structure exists, describe reasons why too little debt is as unwanted as is too much debt? Too little debt may be as unwanted as too much debt since if a firm contains a very conservative capital structures it may be losing

    		•
  • Q : Assignments i want to write final state

    i want to write final state report. My state is Texas. You can use the resources that i attached, also you can use another resources to cover the outlines.

    		•