--%>
Assignment Help - homework help

Mascot Simulation

Simulation with Crystal Ball


Provided Workbook: Mascot Simulation
Relevant Readings:"Discounted Cash Flow Modeling" folder + Textbook Chapter 4.
This is an individual assignment.

 


Mascot Industries (B)


Consider Mascot's investment decision modeled in HW2.
Mascot now realizes that some of the assumptions made are not quite correct.

For example, the projected receivables for both machines are rather unreliable. It is likely that such projections will diverge significantly from their originally estimated 4-year mean. A normal distribution around the mean, with twice the originally predicted 4-year standard deviation, sounds reasonable to reflect such uncertainty.

Also, the purchase price of the new machine is not guaranteed. Most likely, Mascot will pay the originally estimated amount but it is possible that the price be as low as $240,000 or as high as $270,000. Mascot agrees that the uncertain purchase price should follow a triangular distribution.

Mascot's CFO wants to evaluate how these uncertain variables might affect the project's net present value.


Using Crystal Ball, run a simulation in Workbook "Mascot Simulation B" and provide answers to the following questions. Make sure that you copy the full report of your simulation in a separate worksheet.
You will also be asked to load your spreadsheet at the end of this assignment.

Questions.
Using the distributions described above, set up a simulation in the "Crystal Ball Model B" worksheet.
Run 10,000 trials and attach the full report in a worksheet called "simulation B".

In the "Interpretation" worksheet, provide answers to the following questions:

1) Based on simulation results, are you 100% confident that Mascot should acquire the new machine? Explain.
2) How much effort should Mascot allocate at securing the lowest possible purchase price for the new machine? Explain using the simulation results.

   Related Questions in Finance Basics

  • Q : Define Employee Compensation or

    Employee Compensation or Retirement: Salary, advantage, employer retirement rate contribution adjustments, and any other associated statewide compensation adjustments for the state employees. Different 9800 Items of the Budget Act suitable funds for c

    		•
  • Q : What is Legislative Analysts Office

    Legislative Analyst’s Office (LAO): A non-partisan organization which gives advice to the Legislature on the fiscal and policy matters. For illustration, the LAO annually publishes a full analysis of the Governor's Budget and this document becom

    		•
  • Q : Bonds and coupon rate Staind, Inc., has

    Staind, Inc., has 8 percent coupon bonds on the market that have 15 years left to maturity. The bonds make annual payments. If the YTM on these bonds is 9 percent, what is the current bond price?

    		•
  • Q : Investment based question Normal 0

    Normal 0 false false

    		•
  • Q : Assignments i want to write final state

    i want to write final state report. My state is Texas.

    		•
  • Q : Make out this new balance sheet Normal

    Normal 0 false false

  • Q : Describe the risk-return relationship

    Describe the risk-return relationship.The relationship among risk and required rate of return is term as the risk–return relationship.  This is a positive relationship since the more risk assumed, the higher the required rate of retur

    		•
  • Q : Explain Unscheduled Reimbursements

    Unscheduled Reimbursements: The Reimbursements collected by an agency which were not budgeted and are accounted for by an individual reimbursement class of an appropriation. To expend unscheduled reimbursements, the budget revision sh

    		•
  • Q : What is an Agency Agency: It is a legal

    Agency: It is a legal or official reference to a government association at any level in the state organizational hierarchy. Or Government organizations belong to the highest sta

    		•
  • Q : Value $100 is received at the beginning

    $100 is received at the beginning of year 1, $200 is received at the beginning of year 2, and $300 is received at the beginning of year 3. If these cash flows are deposited at 12 percent, their combined future value at the end of year 3 is

    		•