--%>
Assignment Help - homework help

Mascot Simulation

Simulation with Crystal Ball


Provided Workbook: Mascot Simulation
Relevant Readings:"Discounted Cash Flow Modeling" folder + Textbook Chapter 4.
This is an individual assignment.

 


Mascot Industries (B)


Consider Mascot's investment decision modeled in HW2.
Mascot now realizes that some of the assumptions made are not quite correct.

For example, the projected receivables for both machines are rather unreliable. It is likely that such projections will diverge significantly from their originally estimated 4-year mean. A normal distribution around the mean, with twice the originally predicted 4-year standard deviation, sounds reasonable to reflect such uncertainty.

Also, the purchase price of the new machine is not guaranteed. Most likely, Mascot will pay the originally estimated amount but it is possible that the price be as low as $240,000 or as high as $270,000. Mascot agrees that the uncertain purchase price should follow a triangular distribution.

Mascot's CFO wants to evaluate how these uncertain variables might affect the project's net present value.


Using Crystal Ball, run a simulation in Workbook "Mascot Simulation B" and provide answers to the following questions. Make sure that you copy the full report of your simulation in a separate worksheet.
You will also be asked to load your spreadsheet at the end of this assignment.

Questions.
Using the distributions described above, set up a simulation in the "Crystal Ball Model B" worksheet.
Run 10,000 trials and attach the full report in a worksheet called "simulation B".

In the "Interpretation" worksheet, provide answers to the following questions:

1) Based on simulation results, are you 100% confident that Mascot should acquire the new machine? Explain.
2) How much effort should Mascot allocate at securing the lowest possible purchase price for the new machine? Explain using the simulation results.

   Related Questions in Finance Basics

  • Q : Assignments i want to write final state

    i want to write final state report. My state is Texas. You can use the resources that i attached, also you can use another resources to cover the outlines.

    		•
  • Q : Short run and long run influence Normal

    Normal 0 false false

  • Q : Describe Section 28.50 Section 28.50 :

    Section 28.50: It is a Control Section of the Budget Act which authorizes the Department of Finance to increase or reduce the reimbursement line of an appropriation schedule for the reimbursements received from agencies of other state. It too contains

    		•
  • Q : Increased common stock cash dividend

    Do you trust an increased common stock cash dividend can send any signal to the common stockholders? If so, what signal might it send? An increase in cash dividends is frequently seen as a positive signal. A company would be unlikely to raise

    		•
  • Q : Impotence of distinction Normal 0 false

    Normal 0 false false

  • Q : What is Unanticipated Cost or Funding

    Unanticipated Cost or Funding Shortage: A lack or scarcity of (a) cash in a fund, (b) expenses authority due to an inadequate appropriation, or (c) expenses authority due to a cash problem (example, reimbursements not received on a timely base).

    		•
  • Q : What is Workload Budget Adjustment

    Workload Budget Adjustment: Any adjustment to the presently authorized budget obligatory to maintain the level of service needed to fund a Workload Budget, as stated in the Government Code Section 13308.05. A workload budget adjustment is as well term

    		•
  • Q : Question on level of free market wage

    In the year of 1996, the U.S. Congress raised the minimum wage from $4.25 per hour to $5.15 per hour. Some of the people suggested that a government subsidy could help employers finance the higher wage. Assume the supply of low-skilled labour is specified by

    		•
  • Q : What is Revenue Revenue : Any adding up

    Revenue: Any adding up to cash or other current assets which does not raise any liability or reserve and does not symbolize the reduction or recovery of expenditure (example, reimbursements or abatements). Revenues are a kind of receipt usually derive

    		•
  • Q : What is Recall and Redemption What is

    What is Recall and Redemption:Recall: The power of electors to eliminate an elected officer.Redemption: This is the act of redeeming a bond or other security by issuing an agency.

    		•