--%>
Assignment Help - homework help

Mascot Simulation

Simulation with Crystal Ball


Provided Workbook: Mascot Simulation
Relevant Readings:"Discounted Cash Flow Modeling" folder + Textbook Chapter 4.
This is an individual assignment.

 


Mascot Industries (B)


Consider Mascot's investment decision modeled in HW2.
Mascot now realizes that some of the assumptions made are not quite correct.

For example, the projected receivables for both machines are rather unreliable. It is likely that such projections will diverge significantly from their originally estimated 4-year mean. A normal distribution around the mean, with twice the originally predicted 4-year standard deviation, sounds reasonable to reflect such uncertainty.

Also, the purchase price of the new machine is not guaranteed. Most likely, Mascot will pay the originally estimated amount but it is possible that the price be as low as $240,000 or as high as $270,000. Mascot agrees that the uncertain purchase price should follow a triangular distribution.

Mascot's CFO wants to evaluate how these uncertain variables might affect the project's net present value.


Using Crystal Ball, run a simulation in Workbook "Mascot Simulation B" and provide answers to the following questions. Make sure that you copy the full report of your simulation in a separate worksheet.
You will also be asked to load your spreadsheet at the end of this assignment.

Questions.
Using the distributions described above, set up a simulation in the "Crystal Ball Model B" worksheet.
Run 10,000 trials and attach the full report in a worksheet called "simulation B".

In the "Interpretation" worksheet, provide answers to the following questions:

1) Based on simulation results, are you 100% confident that Mascot should acquire the new machine? Explain.
2) How much effort should Mascot allocate at securing the lowest possible purchase price for the new machine? Explain using the simulation results.

   Related Questions in Finance Basics

  • Q : Define Appropriations Limit

    Appropriations Limit, State (SAL): The constitutional limit on the expansion of some appropriations from tax proceeds usually set to the level of the previous year's appropriation limit as adjusted for modifications in cost of living

    		•
  • Q : How earnings obtainable to common

    Normal 0 false false

  • Q : Describe Form 9 Form 9 : It is the

    Form 9: It is the request by department for space planning services (example, new or extra space lease extensions, or renewals in non-institutional) and also evaluated by the Department of Finance.

    		•
  • Q : Fin 235 Personal Finance Homework Fin

    Fin 235 Personal Finance Homework Chapter 8: Problems: 1, 3, 5, 7 1.   Most home insurance policies cover jewelry for $1,000 and silverware for $2,500 unless items are covered with additional insurance. If a family

    		•
  • Q : Define Veto Veto : It is the Governor's

    Veto: It is the Governor's Constitutional authority to reduce or remove one or more items of appropriation while accepting other parts of a bill.

    		•
  • Q : Define Allocation Allocation : The

    Allocation: The distribution of funds or costs from one account or misuse to one or more accounts or appropriations (example, the allocation of employee compensation funding from the statewide 9800 Budget Act items to the departmental Budget Act items

    		•
  • Q : Four major phases of the business cycle

    Normal 0 false false

    		•
  • Q : Standard deviation of the portfolio If

    If a stock with a standard deviation of 7% is combined with a stock that has a standard deviation of 5%, what will the standard deviation of the portfolio be? A) 6%B) Greater than 6%C) Less than 6%D) There is not

    		•
  • Q : Have mergers influenced competition

    Have mergers influenced competition?Federal Reserve data illustrates that measured on the local level, where competition takes place; markets have in fact experienced more banking competition, not less, in the past decade.

    		•
  • Q : Effect of bank charges discount

    What happens while a bank charges discount interest on a loan? While a bank charges discount interest on a loan the required interest payment is subtracted through the loan proceeds at the time the loan is made. It makes the effective interest

    		•