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Least likely example of Substitution

Can someone please help me in finding out the accurate answer from the following question. Assume that the War in Iraq spilled over into another oil exporting countries. When U.S. gasoline prices rose to, state, $10 per gallon, the least likely outcome would be that: (i) Sales of sports utility vehicles [or SUVs] would fall as a percentage of net cars sold. (ii) More people would start carpooling. (iii) Demand would drop for the hybrid Toyota Prius associative to demands for Hummer. (iv) Revenues produced by local buses and commuter trains would raise. (e) President Bush would emerge in photo-ops riding a bicycle about his ranch.

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