Is the price of futures the excellent estimation
Is the price of futures the excellent estimate of €/$ exchange rate?
Expert
No the price of futures is not the excellent estimate of €/$ exchange rate. The price of financial futures arrives from arbitrage and this has nothing to do along with expectations.
The market risk premium is the difference between the historical return on the stock market and the return on bonds. But how many years does “historical” imply? Shall we use the arithmetic mean or the geometric one?
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