Illustrates an example of Monte Carlo Simulation
Illustrates an example of Monte Carlo Simulation?
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We hold a complicated portfolio of investments; we would like to know the probability of losing money over the next year as our bonus depends upon our making a profit. We can calculate this probability by simulating how the individual components in our portfolio might develop over the next year. It needs us to have a model for the random behaviour of each of the assets, as well as the relationship or correlation among them, if any. Several problems which are fully deterministic can also be solved numerically by running simulations, too famously getting a value for π.
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From books of Aggarwal Bors, following information has been extracted: Rs. Sales 2,40,000 Variable costs 1,44,000 Fixed costs 26,000 Profit before tax 70,000 Rate of tax 40% Firm is proposing to buy the new plant that could generate extra annual profit of Rs. 10,000. The fixed cost of new plant is e
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