How you can predict future evolution of value of shares
Could we suppose that, as we cannot predict the future evolution of the value of shares, a good estimation would be to consider this constant during the next five years?
Expert
Such affirmation is an error. The relation among the value of the shares of various years is: Et = Et-1 (1+Ket) – CFact. The shares value is constant (Et = Et-1) only when CFact = Et-1 Ket. It happens in non-growing perpetuities.
When valuing the shares of my company, I calculate the present value of the expected cash flows to shareholders moreover I add to the result obtained cash holdings and liquid investment. Is that correct?
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