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How could we project exchange rates

How could we project exchange rates within order to be capable to forecast exchange differences?

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If anyone knew how to forecast exchange rates; they would be a millionaire and would not lose time upon forecasting exchange dissimilarities! There is no formula which could forecast exchange rates reasonably suitably. In fact, supposing a constant exchange rate leads to bad forecasts, but is even better than supposing the exchange rate would obey the interest rates differential or inflation differential.

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