Historical return on stock market and risk-free rate
The market risk premium is difference among the historical return upon the stock market and the risk-free rate, for yearly. Why is this negative for some years?
Expert
The market risk premium (needed return) is not the difference among the historical return of the stock market and that of fixed-income. For illustration, the historical return of stock market over fixed-income in the United States fluctuates among 3 and 15 percent according to the time period referenced. The needed equity premium is the additional return an investor needs of the shares above the risk-free fixed-income. This does not have similar value for each investor and this is not observable. Thus, we cannot say this is a characteristic parameter of international or national economy.
Flow variables: Any variable, whose magnitude is evaluated over a time period, is termed as glow variable.
Could we suppose that, as we cannot predict the future evolution of the value of shares, a good estimation would be to consider this constant during the next five years?
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