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Fiscal deficits

What are the causes of the fiscal deficits experienced by many developed nations in the past three years and what are the main effects of the resulting government borrowing? For example – Greece/Ireland/Portugal/Spain situation and the large deficits experienced by the USA and UK. Also include causes of deficits and main effects. Support with Pie charts and graphs.

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To start with, the Fiscal deficits have regained their position as an imperative public policy concerns throughout the globe. The swing back towards high deficits is fairly witnessed in the developed globe’s biggest economies, with the United Kingdom, Germany and the United States shifting from surplus to deficits. According to the reports, France’s deficit increased from under 2% of GDP to around 4% in the year 2004. Moreover, Japan’s budget recovered from its higher deficit in 1990s, but is again experiencing fiscal deficits. Further, the smaller OECD nations, considered as a set, have also witnessed a budget decline, although at a lesser extent

The UK's fiscal condition, along with a huge deficit, a high increment in the debt and a low sustainability level, is amongst the chief problematical in Europe. According to OECD analysis, the deficit is growing speedily and to reached 14% of GDP in the year 2010.

Causes and effects of Fiscal Deficit:

According to Saleh (2003), an increment in the budget deficit occurs due to higher spending and lesser receipts. There are several reasons behind increase in the deficit. Firstly, the increase in deficit when government expenditure increments or at the time when taxes drop off. Taking the case of the United States, a huge fraction of the Government budget is spent on the Department of Defense. Moreover, the war outbreak simply increases the government expenditure to great extend resulting in large fiscal deficit. The figure below brings to light the United States expenditure in distinct categories i.e Mandatory, discretionary and lastly, interest.

253_fiscal deficits.jpg

The figure below highlights the structure of discretionary expenditure by the United States in the year 2008. One can clearly notice that around half of the discretionary expenditure was done on defense during the year 2008.

554_fiscal deficits2.jpg

In addition to this, the degree of fiscal deficit could also modify at the time when the level of GNP alters. As lesser GNP implies lesser income and greater joblessness, deficit worsens in case if GNP goes down. Therefore, a fall in GNP consequentially brings down tax receipts and increments government transfer payments.

Moving ahead, it is highly believed that fiscal deficits lead to an increase in the interest rates. At the time when a government is experiencing a deficit, it becomes essential for the government to borrow funds. Moreover, greater budget deficit is equivalent to greater leaning for the government to lend money. Besides this, it is not just the government that loans but other segments like the business and households as well. Further, with more needs of borrowing, the interest rate too goes up.

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